Hanson overtakes Albanese as One Nation surge shakes major parties

Pauline Hanson has overtaken Anthony Albanese as Queensland’s preferred prime minister as new polling shows One Nation ahead of both major parties in two states and within a point of Labor in another two.

One Nation has opened up a commanding primary vote lead in Queensland, with 36 per cent of voters surveyed backing the party.

Labor sits on 25 per cent, the Coalition 19 per cent and the Greens 12 per cent.

Hanson has also edged ahead of Albanese when Queensland voters were asked to choose between the pair as preferred prime minister, leading 52 per cent to 48 per cent.

Her net approval rating in her home state was plus-14, while Albanese recorded a net approval rating of minus-38.

One Nation ahead in NSW

The quarterly Newspoll breakdown shows the strength of One Nation’s support extends well beyond Queensland.

In New South Wales, One Nation recorded a primary vote of 31 per cent, narrowly ahead of Labor on 30 per cent.

Western Australia was almost as close, with Labor on 30 per cent and One Nation on 29 per cent.

In South Australia, Labor held 32 per cent to One Nation’s 31 per cent. The Coalition was fourth on 13 per cent, behind the Greens on 14 per cent.

Victoria was the weakest state for Hanson, although One Nation still recorded 25 per cent of the primary vote.

The results come as national polling also shows One Nation attracting significant support. The latest national Newspoll put the party on 30 per cent of the primary vote, Labor on 29 per cent and the Coalition on 19 per cent.

Queensland shift

The Queensland figures show a marked movement since the previous quarterly Newspoll breakdown.

Labor’s primary vote has fallen five points, from 30 to 25 per cent, while the Coalition dropped three points to 19 per cent. One Nation rose four points to 36 per cent and the Greens gained three points to reach 12 per cent.

The quarterly analysis combines Newspoll surveys conducted between July 13 and September 18 involving 4,967 voters.

The figures measure voting intentions during that period. They do not show how primary votes would ultimately translate into seats at a federal election, where individual contests and preference flows would play a significant role.

Pressure on both major parties

The numbers leave Labor and the Coalition confronting the same problem: One Nation’s support is no longer confined to Hanson’s home state.

The party leads the primary vote in Queensland and NSW and sits just one percentage point behind Labor in WA and South Australia.

Albanese remains ahead of Hanson nationally as preferred prime minister. A separate national Newspoll released last week had Albanese on 44 per cent, Hanson 32 per cent and Opposition Leader Angus Taylor 24 per cent.

But Queensland has now broken the other way.

Among voters surveyed there, Hanson leads the sitting prime minister 52–48.