According to those in the know, Malcolm Turnbull might have been playing it smart when he chose to gamble an overly long double dissolution election campaign through the Australian winter.
Sure, history shows drawn-out campaigns have a tendency to challenge voter loyalties, but pollsters have crunched the numbers to reveal that despite all the announcements and attention Bill Shorten and the Labor Party have been getting of late it might not be enough to get them across the line come July 2.
The Sydney Morning Herald writes that “if anything, Labor has slipped behind fractionally since the end of May and is now trailing on national two-party-preferred, 49.2 per cent to 50.8 per cent”.
If you aren’t a fan of the Coalition, you’re likely to quickly dismiss the idea that Bill Shorten and his Labor team have peaked ahead of the polls, but that’s what is being suggested by both sides of the playing field.
The news is not much better for the Coalition.
Should it win the election, a reduced majority in the House of Representatives and the possibility of a Senate no more manageable than what we have now is set to cause frustration for all involved, including the general public.
There is also a suggestion that if this is the case, Malcolm Turnbull would be subject to the same declining polls that were used to overthrow Tony Abbott, and experience shows the public has little tolerance for such political party instability.